Fiscal position over time

How Queensland’s fiscal position has moved across the 2024-25 cycle: the June Budget forecast, the audited prior-year outcome (Report on State Finances), and the December Mid-Year Fiscal and Economic Review.

Forward trajectory

Budget forecast vs the revised mid-year path across the forward estimates.

Net operating balance

Deficit (below zero) narrows across the forward estimates.

$2B-$4B-$9B2024-252025-262026-272027-28Budget 2024-25: -$2.6BBudget 2025-26: -$515mBudget 2026-27: +$887mBudget 2027-28: +$2.0BRevised (MYFER) 2024-25: -$4.9BRevised (MYFER) 2025-26: -$6.9BRevised (MYFER) 2026-27: -$9.2BRevised (MYFER) 2027-28: -$9.2B
BudgetRevised (MYFER)
Net debt

General Government net debt, end of financial year.

$99B$49B$02024-252025-262026-272027-28Budget 2024-25: $27.4BBudget 2025-26: $40.6BBudget 2026-27: $52.1BBudget 2027-28: $59.8BRevised (MYFER) 2024-25: $25.5BRevised (MYFER) 2025-26: $48.3BRevised (MYFER) 2026-27: $73.3BRevised (MYFER) 2027-28: $98.8B
BudgetRevised (MYFER)

Did the numbers land?

How the audited 2023-24 outcome compared to what was originally budgeted for that year.

Actual vs budget — 2024-25 outcome
Revenue+$7.7B (+9.4%)
Expenses+$3.8B (+4.5%)
Net operating balance+$3.9B (+177.0%)
Net debt-$10.5B (-64.9%)
Capital purchases-$78.2B (-88.2%)
Better than budgetWorse than budget

Where the money comes from and goes

General Government sector, Mid-Year Fiscal and Economic Review 2024-25.

Revenue

$88.1B
  • Grants revenue (incl. GST)$40.4B
  • Taxation revenue$25.0B
  • Other revenue (incl. royalties)$10.0B
  • Sales of goods and services$7.4B
  • Interest income$3.5B
  • Dividend and income tax equivalent income$1.8B

Expenses

$93.0B
  • Employee expenses$35.4B
  • Other operating expenses$26.8B
  • Grants expenses$17.4B
  • Depreciation and amortisation$5.8B
  • Superannuation expenses$5.2B
  • Other interest expenses$2.4B

Fiscal position over time

Key General Government aggregates at each reference point.

Metric2024-25 Budget2023-24 Actual2024-25 RevisedChange since budget
Revenue$88.1B$89.8B$88.1B-$36m
Expenses$90.7B$88.1B$93.0B+$2.2B
Net operating balance-$2.6B$1.7B-$4.9B-$2.3B
Net debt$27.4B$5.7B$25.5B-$1.9B
Capital program$107.3B$10.5B$129.9B+$22.6B

The 2023-24 Actual column is the audited outcome of the previous financial year — shown for context, not as a like-for-like comparison with the 2024-25 figures. Capital program bases differ between documents (four-year Non-financial Public Sector program at budget and MYFER; single-year General Government purchases in the Report on State Finances) — see each figure’s basis note below.

Report on State Finances 2023-24

Audited actual outcome

2023-24 · as at 30 June 2024 · compared to 2023-24 Budget estimate · published 2024-11-28 by Queensland Treasury

Queensland finished 2023-24 with a $1.681 billion operating surplus instead of the $2.182 billion deficit forecast at budget, as coal royalties moderated more slowly than expected, and net debt ended the year at $5.684 billion — $10.5 billion below the budget estimate.

$89.8B
Total Revenue
General Government sector, 2023-24 actual outcome (UPF).
$88.1B
Total Expenses
General Government sector, 2023-24 actual outcome (UPF).
$1.7B
Net Operating Balance
General Government sector, 2023-24 actual outcome (UPF surplus). The 2023-24 Budget had forecast a $2.182 billion deficit.
$5.7B
Net Debt
General Government sector, as at 30 June 2024. Net debt to revenue ratio was 6 per cent, down from the 14 per cent projected at the 2024-25 Budget.
$10.5B
Capital Purchases
General Government sector purchases of non-financial assets, 2023-24 actual outcome (single-year, cash basis). The wider State Non-financial Sector capital program delivered in 2023-24 was $21.569 billion.

Economic outlook

IndicatorAt budgetUpdated
General Government revenue growth (year-on-year) (%)0.0
General Government expenses growth (year-on-year) (%)16.1

What changed

Surplus instead of deficitrevenue

The General Government Sector recorded a $1.681 billion operating surplus, a $3.863 billion improvement on the $2.182 billion deficit forecast in the 2023-24 Budget. It follows operating surpluses in 2021-22 and 2022-23.

RoSF 2023-24, Outcomes Report — Net Operating Balance, p.3-6, p.3

Coal royalties held up longer than expectedrevenue

Coal and oil prices received by Queensland producers moderated more slowly than the budget assumed, lifting royalty revenue. Even so, royalty-driven 'other revenue' fell $5.352 billion from 2022-23 as prices normalised from their 2022-23 peak.

RoSF 2023-24, AASB 1049 Overview — Revenue, p.4-3, p.4

Net debt $10.5 billion below budgetdebt

Net debt finished at $5.684 billion versus the $16.19 billion budget estimate — a 65 per cent improvement — due to stronger operating cash flows, lower borrowing, lower capital purchases and better-than-expected QIC investment valuations. The net debt to revenue ratio was 6 per cent.

RoSF 2023-24, Outcomes Report — Net Debt and Fiscal principles, p.3-2 to 3-6, p.3

Expenses ran above budgetexpenses

Expenses grew 16.1 per cent ($12.207 billion) on 2022-23, driven by certified public sector wage agreements, a 5.3 per cent rise in full-time-equivalent employees, electricity bill rebates and demand-driven health and child-protection costs.

RoSF 2023-24, AASB 1049 Overview — Expenses, p.4-3 to 4-4, p.4

Capital delivery slightly below estimatecapital

The State Non-financial Sector capital program delivered in 2023-24 was $21.569 billion, $649 million (2.9 per cent) below the 2024-25 Budget estimated actual, largely reflecting the timing of infrastructure projects. General Government purchases of non-financial assets were $10.507 billion.

RoSF 2023-24, Outcomes Report — Fiscal principles and Capital Purchases, p.3-3, p.3-6, p.3

Commonwealth brought payments forwardrevenue

In late June 2024 the Australian Government made advance payments, including 85 per cent ($555 million) of the Financial Assistance Grants due in 2024-25 and a $199 million advance for the Housing Support Program, lifting actual revenue above the estimate.

RoSF 2023-24, Outcomes Report — Revenue, p.3-4, p.3

Report on State Finances 2024-25

Audited actual outcome

2024-25 · as at 30 June 2025 · compared to 2024-25 Budget estimate · published 2025-10-15 by Queensland Treasury

Queensland's General Government Sector recorded a 2024-25 operating deficit of $4.428 billion, $1.797 billion larger than the original Budget estimate as expenses grew faster than revenue, while net debt finished $10.680 billion lower than budgeted at $16.727 billion.

$89.0B
Revenue
General Government sector, 2024-25 actual (AASB 1049)
$93.4B
Expenses
General Government sector, 2024-25 actual (AASB 1049)
-$4.4B
Net operating balance
General Government sector net operating balance, 2024-25 actual (UPF/GFS)
$16.7B
Net debt
General Government sector net debt, as at 30 June 2025
$11.3B
Capital purchases (non-financial assets)
General Government sector purchases of non-financial assets, 2024-25 actual cash outlays

Economic outlook

IndicatorAt budgetUpdated
Real Gross State Product per capita growth (%)0.5
General Government revenue growth (year-on-year) (%)-0.9
General Government expenses growth (year-on-year) (%)6.1

What changed

Operating deficit wider than budgetedexpenses

The General Government operating deficit was $4.428 billion, $1.797 billion larger than the $2.631 billion deficit forecast in the original 2024-25 Budget, because expenses rose $2.656 billion above Budget while revenue rose only $859 million.

RoSF 2024-25, p.86

Net debt $10.7 billion below Budgetdebt

General Government net debt finished the year at $16.727 billion, $10.680 billion lower than the $27.407 billion projected in the original 2024-25 Budget, reflecting lower borrowing, higher cash balances and better-than-expected market valuations of the State's long-term investments.

RoSF 2024-25, p.87

Royalty revenue fell as coal prices moderatedrevenue

Other revenue (which includes royalties) was $521 million below Budget and $4.903 billion lower than the previous year, mainly due to lower coal export volumes and prices as commodity prices moderated from the elevated levels of prior years.

RoSF 2024-25, p.89

Employee costs above Budget on health staffingexpenses

Employee expenses were $930 million (3%) higher than the original Budget, predominantly driven by growth in health employee numbers to meet service demand; total full-time equivalent staff rose 4.8% over the year.

RoSF 2024-25, p.89

Capital delivery slower than plannedcapital

General Government purchases of non-financial assets were $1.509 billion (12%) below the original Budget, reflecting the timing of infrastructure project delivery and work completed but not yet paid for at year end.

RoSF 2024-25, p.90

Commonwealth grants higher than Budgetrevenue

Grants revenue was $980 million (2%) above the original Budget, due to a larger national GST pool and higher National Partnership payments for road infrastructure and Better and Fairer Schools funding.

RoSF 2024-25, p.89

Net worth rose on asset revaluationsother

General Government net worth was $355.427 billion at 30 June 2025, $39.854 billion above the original Budget, predominantly due to upward valuations of land under roads, road infrastructure and public housing.

RoSF 2024-25, p.87

Mid-Year Fiscal and Economic Review 2024-25

Revised forecast

2024-25 · as at December 2024 · compared to 2024-25 Budget (June 2024) · published December 2024 by Queensland Treasury

The mid-year review revised the 2024-25 General Government operating deficit to $4.9 billion, $2.3 billion deeper than the June Budget's $2.6 billion deficit, while net debt was revised slightly lower for 2024-25 but is projected to rise sharply across the forward estimates.

$88.1B
Revenue
General Government sector, 2024-25 revised (Budget Update)
$93.0B
Expenses
General Government sector, 2024-25 revised (Budget Update)
-$4.9B
Net operating balance
General Government sector, 2024-25 revised (Budget Update)
$25.5B
Net debt
General Government sector, as at 30 June 2025, 2024-25 revised (Budget Update)
$129.9B
Capital program
Non-financial Public Sector, 4-year program 2024-25 to 2027-28, 2024-25 revised (Budget Update)

Economic outlook

IndicatorAt budgetUpdated
Gross State Product growth (%)3
Employment growth (%)
Inflation (CPI) (%)22

What changed

2024-25 operating deficit revised to $4.9 billionexpenses

The General Government net operating deficit for 2024-25 was revised to $4.911 billion, $2.3 billion deeper than the $2.631 billion deficit estimated in the June Budget.

Budget Update 2024-25, p.6

Larger deficits projected across forward estimatesexpenses

Operating deficits of $6.926 billion in 2025-26, $9.173 billion in 2026-27 and $9.190 billion in 2027-28 are projected, totalling $30.2 billion in deficits from 2024-25 to 2027-28.

Budget Update 2024-25, p.6

Funding added for frontline servicesexpenses

Expenses were revised up by $2.245 billion in 2024-25, including additional funding identified for frontline services in health, law and order, child safety and victims of crime assistance.

Budget Update 2024-25, p.10

Royalty revenue revised downrevenue

Royalty revenue for 2024-25 was revised down by $421 million to $7.984 billion, driven by lower coal export volumes and a faster-than-expected decline in hard coking coal prices.

Budget Update 2024-25, p.9

GST revenue upgraded for 2024-25revenue

GST revenue for 2024-25 was revised up by $454 million to $18.979 billion, partly offsetting lower royalties, though the outlook deteriorates from 2025-26 due to Commonwealth Grants Commission methodology changes.

Budget Update 2024-25, p.9

Capital program revised up $22.6 billioncapital

The 4-year Non-financial Public Sector capital program to 2027-28 was revised up by $22.6 billion to $129.9 billion, attributed to cost escalations, funding decisions taken after the June Budget, and election commitments.

Budget Update 2024-25, p.12

Borrowing projected to more than double by 2027-28debt

Total Non-financial Public Sector borrowing is projected to rise from $106.4 billion in 2023-24 to $217.8 billion by 2027-28, which is $45.8 billion higher than the $172.0 billion projected in the June Budget.

Budget Update 2024-25, p.11

Former government's unallocated savings reversedexpenses

The $3 billion in unallocated savings proposed in the June Budget were reversed from the forward estimates because they had been announced but not allocated to agencies.

Budget Update 2024-25, p.10

Election commitments incorporatedother

Costed 2024 State General Election commitments totalling $4.052 billion in expenses, offset by $6.9 billion in identified savings, were incorporated; the net effect improves the operating balance across the forward estimates.

Budget Update 2024-25, p.10

Economic growth forecast eased to 2½ per centeconomy

Gross State Product growth for 2024-25 was revised down to 2½ per cent from 3 per cent at Budget, reflecting weaker private demand, while employment growth was revised up to 2½ per cent.

Budget Update 2024-25, p.5

Emerging fiscal pressures identifiedrisk

The review identified emerging pressures including additional water infrastructure needs, potential downside to Queensland's GST share from the Commonwealth Grants Commission's 2025 Methodology Review, and potential native title compensation liabilities.

Budget Update 2024-25, p.10

Source documents

Factual information from published QLD Treasury fiscal documents. Figures are General Government sector unless otherwise noted in each basis line.